Is Tyson Jost just a victim of unrealistic expectations? An analysis

Is Tyson Jost the victim of a weak draft class?

For the best part of two seasons now, just about every Avs fan has asked something to the effect of “Is Tyson Jost a bust or just a late bloomer?”

Let’s dig into some numbers:

The Draft Process

The NHL draft is a great format to gain top talent. But it has its risks. Nineteen percent, on average, of first-rounders go on to play 100 games in the league – and that number drops to just 13 percent of those taken in the second round. So Jost isn’t in that 81 percent who flunk out and get a job as a crappy skills coach at a community college in Iowa by age 29. He isn’t a bust, by any means. He is an 82-game player on an NHL franchise. But I sat down and crunched some numbers from his draft class. As an avid prospects follower and scout, I had a hunch that we have ballooned expectations, because of one big thing: The 2016 class is turning out to be on the weaker side.