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Avalanche Mega-Mailbag: Landeskog contract and are the Avs tough enough?

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Happy Wednesday to all. Let’s hope we get a nice advance Christmas present soon, with an announcement of an upcoming NHL season. With that formality out of the way, let’s get to another Avalanche Mailbag, starting with a question about the captain, Gabe Landeskog:

David, first off, thanks for the compliment on how young I look in that picture above. I’ve been working out a bit lately, so…well, on Landy’s contract, I think there’s no question that a flat cap and a Covid-19 shortened season hurts guys such as him a bit. But maybe not that much, because any extension he might sign before next off-season wouldn’t go into effect, cap-wise, until 2021-22. I would think fair market value for Landy would be something on the order of $7 million per. How many years the Avs would want to go might be a stickier question than the AAV number. I would think Landy’s got another five good years in him, but I probably wouldn’t go any longer than that. He’d be 33 after a five-year deal (34 after a five-year extension that wouldn’t kick in until 2021-22) and, well, that’s getting long in the tooth in today’s NHL.

So, I’m gonna go five years, $35 million for the captain. That’s a decent raise over what he’s making now, but it’s not a contract that would potentially cripple the Avs either way. I think there will be an extension at some point this season, but maybe not until NHL owners get a little more cost certainty vis a vis the virus, etc.

I’m gonna be the optimist here and say 100%, on at least some fans being in the stands at some point. Full buildings? Almost certainly not, not with full administration of vaccines still likely weeks/months away (in the good ole US of A anyway. I just read how Canada will start a mass vaccination program in the next two weeks, but as always, we lag behind because of our lumbering bureaucracies).

I don’t see why at least some fans – and they will probably pay a pretty penny to attend – won’t be allowed into buildings by, say, spring. But I’m not the CDC, so I probably should shut up now.

My man Joey, good question. Well, you obviously can never guarantee health from day to day. But obviously, one thing the Avs will need to do is not overwork one of their goalies too much. I suspect we’ll see more of a pure platoon situation between Grubauer and Frankie over a shortened schedule. The NHL wants to get everything with a 2020-21 season wrapped up by the Summer Olympics in July, so, yeah, there will be a lot of back-to-backs in the regular season. While most “starting” goalies like to play a lot, you can’t play your No. 1 guy four games a week.

No doubt, we’ll probably see expanded rosters and, because of that, we’ll probably see some regulars get more nights off occasionally. No doubt, we’d see someone like an Erik Johnson or an Ian Cole get a night off in favor of, say, a Conor Timmins or another depth D guy. Same with some of the older forwards, like a Kadri or a Bellemare or a Calvert and probably others too, like a Landeskog. I imagine Jared Bednar will have to cut down on some of his practice times/day with a shortened schedule too, to give his tired players more rest. But every team will be in the same boat.

Gotta go with Chris Drury here. That 2002 deal, to Calgary along with Stephane Yelle for Derek Morris, Jeff Shantz and Dean McAmmond, was obviously a bust. In an amazing GM career for Pierre Lacroix in Denver, that was his one real turkey of a trade. After Ray Bourque retired and the Avs lost in Game 7 to Detroit in 2002, Lacroix wanted to still have a “three-headed monster” on defense, and at that time, Derek Morris was considered one of the better young two-day D-men in the league. I understand Lacroix’s reasoning in making the deal. But losing Drury (and Yelle) was a killer. I mean, Drury was Mr. Clutch and Yelle was the third-line center on a Calgary club that went to Game 7 of the Cup Finals just two years later.

I also think the Avs would have had a better shot at winning the Cup in 1997 if they’d had Chris Simon on the ’96-97 team, but a contract dispute sent him to Washington (and the Caps made the Cup Finals a year, with Simon playing on the top line). The Avs had only Brent Severyn as an enforcer that season, and it cost them, even though Sevvy did the best he could. Simon truly scared opponents, though, and that mattered back then.

I think it’s a lead-pipe guarantee we’ll see ESPN and the NHL reunite, starting next season. It might be a split deal, with NBC, but I think both sides would like to do business with each other once again.

And, yes, I’ve always felt bad about Quebec losing their team. But they are a proud bunch of citizens there, and I think they’ll get a team back eventually.

I’m gonna say J.T. Compher has something of a breakout year. I mean, we’re not talking a point-a-game here, but let’s say, in a 56-game season, I see something like 15-25 40 for J.T. That might be a tad ambitious, but I think he’s capable of it.

I’m not predicting a slump, but a guy like Andre Burakovsky is someone I probably worry about a little more than others. He’s a streaky scorer, though he played pretty consistently through the playoffs I thought. I expect him to start the season on a line with Kadri and Saad, and it might take a while for some chemistry to develop between those three. Then again, maybe not.

Only if the rosters are expanded, but yeah I think we’ll see him play at some point. He’s currently playing in Sweden for MODO, but he can come back to the NHL when the season starts up again. He wouldn’t crack the top 12 right now, but with expanded rosters and injuries that no doubt will happen at some point, I’m sure we’ll see Kaut play at least some games.

No. Can’t find one ANYWHERE and I’m a guy that has a connection or two in the industry. My 6-foot-6 16-year-old son, a jersey hound, really wants a men’s XXXL, but there are simply none to be found right now.

Congrats to all those who have theirs by now but here in the Dater household, we are Reverse Retro deprived.

Russo and I have been friends since 1995, when we both started covering the league together. He’s The Man.

Ranta had a really good game the other night for the Golden Gophers, and I know the Avs are high on him. The rich get richer…

Nigel, it’s a good and fair question. I do think the Dallas Stars bullied the Avs too much in the playoffs and that it was a factor in the series. The Avs got hemmed in their own zone far too often, and just didn’t seem big or strong enough to deal with Dallas’ big forwards at times. I also think the injuries the Avs had – especially losing guys like Erik Johnson and Matt Calvert – hurt in that area.

I don’t think the Avs are a “soft” team, but I do think a lack of size is still something of a factor with this team. That said, I didn’t see Big Z scaring too many Stars out there in the second round. I think opponents are always on the lookout for guys like Big Z, but I don’t think Big Z was truly an intimidating physical force out there in regular situations. Sure, he could line up a guy for a big hit sometimes, but that only happened occasionally. Frankly, I think Big Z got outworked in front of the net too often and didn’t use his size and strength enough around the net in too many situations. So, I don’t necessarily worry about his loss from a “grit” standpoint. What I worry about with the Avs otherwise is still a lack of size up front, expecially on the bottom two lines, and somewhat still on the back end too.

It was unbelievable. Still can’t believe it happened.

No. They were incinerated a long time ago. On orders of the significant other.

 

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Adrian Dater - Kiss and Larry Bird fan. Writer with @Gambling and @Bookies. Previously Denver Post, SI, Bleacher Report to name just a few.

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Jared Moss

Big Z played horrible in the playoff but I’m sure he’d put some blame on his arm he had surgery on after. Dont think we will miss him to much especially if saad can find some chemistry and put up decent numbers.

AD: sorry I don’t have Twitter couldnt ask, but are we to assume this is the team we’re headed into the season with? Any rumors from Avs department?

Matt Briggle

Here’s my two cents even though you didn’t give me a penny for them (think it was George Carlin who originally asked the question of who’s making a penny. Maybe Stephen Wright). Given the financial constraints and that he’s the captain, I could see them giving Landy a 6 year deal to keep the AAV down a bit and hope he holds up. Personally I am not excited to have ESPN getting the NHL back and hope that it would be shared with NBC and maybe a streaming service or two. ESPN has always hated hockey and I don’t see… Read more »

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[…] have to face until potentially the playoffs. Plus, the Avalanche have a reputation of not being a physical enough team in the forward group, and the Blues are a very tough team. With this in mind, the big bruising Blues could be a matchup […]

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