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Avalanche Offseason

What If Mitch Marner Found His Home — and Glory — With the Avalanche?

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What if the Avalanche made a splash this summer?

What if they decided to attach a different type of elite winger to Nathan MacKinnon?

What if, like Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin did with Phil Kessel, MacKinnon and fellow superstar Cale Makar allow this particular player to settle in without being the main star on the team?

What if the unlikeliest of scenarios plays out and the Avalanche find a way to sign pending unrestricted free agent Mitch Marner?

It’s probably not going to happen, and this entire post is nothing more than offseason fodder to give us something to talk about. But, it would certainly be a lot of fun.

So why not?

Marner was drafted six spots ahead of Mikko Rantanen in 2015 and has not had nearly the same kind of success as the former Av. Rantanen was (and still is) a playoff producer. Marner has struggled to elevate his play, especially in Games 5, 6, and 7 throughout his career.

What started as a dream scenario when he was drafted by his hometown and favorite childhood team, the Toronto Maple Leafs, is headed toward an imminent divorce, awaiting July 1 to come so the two sides can finally separate. There are many, many reasons why most teams — especially Stanley Cup contenders like Colorado — should steer clear of Marner.

It starts with the years of playoff disappointments and extends to his likely insane contract demands. But what if his negotiations play out like Rantanen’s — the number he expects to reach doesn’t get offered from a team in its window to win. Would he settle for less? And if so, how much less? Or would he be okay with playing for a team still building?

Bringing in Marner would require serious work from the Avs brass. For starters, Chris MacFarland and Joe Sakic would basically have to go back on their word of paying three stars. They wanted Rantanen at $11.65 million, and he was asking for closer to Leon Draisaitl’s $14 million. That’s ultimately what led to the sudden trade in January.

But the way the two have since spoken about the deal makes it sound like they wouldn’t have even wanted Rantanen to take the $11.65 million offer. If he did, they’d still be paying three stars (once Makar is extended). Maybe they’ve come around on that. Maybe they’ll try offering that same number, or something around it, to Marner.

After all, when the Avs traded Rantanen, the salary cap picture for the upcoming seasons had not yet been released. This is their chance for a do-over.

But even when you move past that, they’d also need to make several moves to clear the space and roster spot. Martin Necas? Valeri Nichushkin? Ross Colton? Charlie Coyle? Everything would be on the table.

Could Necas be moved for a second-line center to make room for Marner on the top line?

Thankfully, this is a front office that isn’t scared to make trades. They’re not afraid to change the outlook of a team and shake up a roster. We have living proof of that.

But why Marner? Why do all of this for a guy that doesn’t cut it in the playoffs and has a history of losing in Game 7?

You can’t deny he’s a talented elite-level player that, let’s face it, has faded under the pressure of playing for an organization, in a city, and in front of a fanbase that lives and breathes hockey. It’s not that the Toronto market is in the wrong — it’s that it’s not for everyone.

It wasn’t the best place for Kessel. It’s proven not to be the right place for Marner. Even though it would’ve been a dream for him to succeed there.

Bringing Marner to Colorado isn’t just about replacing Rantanen or undoing a trade. It’s not about acquiring the best player to likely hit the market this summer. It’s about finding the right fit for MacKinnon.

And it’s not that Necas hasn’t worked there. Or Artturi Lehkonen, Gabe Landeskog or Nichushkin.

If Marner was brought in, he’d come with the same chip on his shoulder that we’ve seen Rantanen play with in Dallas. The records Rantanen has broken, the number of hat tricks, and the crazy games he’s had in these playoffs, he probably wouldn’t have done that if the Avs didn’t trade him.

Even as someone who has spoken out against the Rantanen trade, I still understand this. Rantanen wanted to prove he can do it without MacKinnon. He wanted to prove the Avs wrong and was given the perfect opportunity to do that in Game 7. He took it.

Marner would come with the same hunger to win. And he’d do it alongside MacKinnon, who has spoken out about how much he believes in this player.

I was taken aback last September when MacKinnon defended Marner after another disappointing playoff loss for him and the rest of the Maple Leafs’ core.

MacKinnon and Sidney Crosby reached out to Marner and invited him to their summer training camp in Vail, Colorado, last summer. MacKinnon later publicly said Marner turned heads.

“Looks awesome,” the Avs’ top center said. “He’s impressive out there. Unreal. Just so good, so talented.

“Marner gets a lot of flak in Toronto. But he’s honestly one of the best players in the league. I play with some of the best players in the league, and then I skate with Marns, and he’s right up there with anyone. Especially at that camp, there were a lot of good players. He stuck out as one of the best.”

MacKinnon and Marner went on to play together for Team Canada and won the 4 Nations Face-Off. They were both big parts of that team, even if the massive plays they made weren’t together. And they’ll both play for Team Canada again at the Olympics next year.

Again, this probably isn’t going to happen. But what if?

The Avs once tried to sign Artemi Panarin. They attempted to trade for Jack Eichel.

Both of those were during a different time. It still doesn’t change the fact that this front office always tries with the big-name players.

Yes, they traded Rantanen to build a deeper roster. But was that truly the reason? Because if Rantanen accepted the deal for a shade under $12 million, they would’ve never traded him.

I struggle with that reasoning for the deal. I still think it’s because Rantanen’s camp was being difficult, and they took advantage of an offer from Carolina that had to be accepted at that moment.

It wasn’t that the Avs were starving for depth; it was more that the guys they were paying to provide that depth weren’t producing, and Rantanen took the fall to spread even more of the wealth.

Do they have one more big swing in them? Panarin didn’t work. Eichel didn’t work.

But perhaps the most realistic superstar they could add is Marner. He’d appreciate hiding in the shadows of MacKinnon and Makar. He’d appreciate getting a reset after a disappointing 10 years in Toronto, at least in the playoffs.

He’d appreciate a chance to still play for a Stanley Cup contender.

And there’s no denying MacKinnon would appreciate getting to play with someone like Marner.

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